The Leverage Theory of History
Technology, chokepoints, and the rise of artificial intelligence
‘Vibe Coding’ Signals the End of Software Programmers
Synergy or substitute?
Latest
The Leverage Theory of History
Technology, chokepoints, and the rise of artificial intelligence
2026 AI Predictions
A galaxy brain forecast for the ages
Schleppy AGI
Why powerful AI might arrive sooner than we think
On Randomness
Is the universe, at bottom, random?
Who Controls the Robot Army?
The American founders feared standing armies
Latest
The Leverage Theory of History
Technology, chokepoints, and the rise of artificial intelligence
2026 AI Predictions
A galaxy brain forecast for the ages
Schleppy AGI
Why powerful AI might arrive sooner than we think
On Randomness
Is the universe, at bottom, random?
Who Controls the Robot Army?
The American founders feared standing armies
How To Forecast AGI
Compute, not intuition, should guide AGI timelines
Are Language Models Human Emulations?
What blackmail behaviors reveal about the nature of LLMs
The Subtext: You Are A Member of A Colony
Why no one is steering this ship
AI Risk and the Banality of Evil
We need safety designs that assume full access to model weights
‘Vibe Coding’ Signals the End of Software Programmers
Synergy or substitute?
When Machines Compete
The darwinian shift reshaping capitalism
OpenAI’s Charter
You may be surprised at their stance on the AGI arms race
DeepSeek Foreshadows Recursive Self-Improvement
No fanfare, no papers—just abrupt capability shifts
Charles Darwin: The Godfather of Reinforcement Learning
Evolution is a population-level reinforcement learner
The Product Lifecycle of Human Labor
Will humans become an idle resource?
2025 AI Predictions
Overall, I think 2025 will be the year the zeitgeist shifts
Consumption Must Flow
The fallout from AI’s collision with the labor force
What is a Computer?
Meditations on the computer on the eve of superintelligence
Further Reading
Who Controls the Robot Army?
The American founders feared standing armies
How To Forecast AGI
Compute, not intuition, should guide AGI timelines
Are Language Models Human Emulations?
What blackmail behaviors reveal about the nature of LLMs
The Subtext: You Are A Member of A Colony
Why no one is steering this ship
AI Risk and the Banality of Evil
We need safety designs that assume full access to model weights
‘Vibe Coding’ Signals the End of Software Programmers
Synergy or substitute?
When Machines Compete
The darwinian shift reshaping capitalism
OpenAI’s Charter
You may be surprised at their stance on the AGI arms race
DeepSeek Foreshadows Recursive Self-Improvement
No fanfare, no papers—just abrupt capability shifts
Charles Darwin: The Godfather of Reinforcement Learning
Evolution is a population-level reinforcement learner
The Product Lifecycle of Human Labor
Will humans become an idle resource?
2025 AI Predictions
Overall, I think 2025 will be the year the zeitgeist shifts
Recommended
The Product Lifecycle of Human Labor
Will humans become an idle resource?
A Brief History of Artificial Intelligence
A meditation on the culmination of the computer revolution
The Big Opportunity in AI: Legacy Industry
The entire economy is going to be remade
The Singularity and its Discontents
Will spaceships and Dyson spheres make us happy?